2010 Election Predictions – How we rank individual races (revised criteria) Our calls on individual races are based on a composite of polls conducted over the last 28 days (we will compress this “lookback period” once primary season has concluded) using the following criteria:
Archive | 2010 Election
RSS feed for this sectionEast Baton Rouge Parish School Board Candidate Filing
Several months ago, we noted that the East Baton Rouge Parish School Board (which excludes the breakaway school districts of Baker, Zachary, and Central) adopted a new redistricting plan that reduced its membership from 12 to 11 members. The close of candidate filing today represents the first time EBR School Board members will be running […]
Louisiana Candidate Filing (Filing Has Closed)
Candidate filing has closed in Louisiana for the 2010 elections. There were a significant number of last minute qualifiers, so we are providing a summary, as well as a list of qualifiers:
Louisiana Candidate Filing (Friday Noon Status)
Today is the last day for candidate qualifying in Louisiana for the fall elections (qualifying concludes at 5PM). Below is the current status of major state and national offices:
Louisiana Candidate Filing (Thursday Noon Status)
We are now half way through candidate qualifying, and for the major races, nearly all of the incumbents/major players have qualified. After an initial rush of qualifiers yesterday morning, qualifying yesterday afternoon and this morning has proceeded as a slower pace, with the biggest entry being Democratic attorney Ravi Sangisetty, who is competing for the Congressional seat […]
Louisiana Candidate Filing (Wednesday Noon Status)
The first day of qualifying time is half over, and for the major races, nearly all of the incumbents/major players have qualified. Below is the current status:
It’s Election Season in Louisiana !
For tomorrow, Thursday, and Friday, candidates will be qualifying for national, statewide, and local races in Louisiana. What may be confusing is that while we will return to open primaries for Congressional races, we are still using party primaries for this year’s Congressional elections only. Meaning that Democrats/Independents may vote in the August 28 Democratic […]
The “Obama Plunge” – what is it ?
In several major elections held since “cap and trade” passed the U.S. House last summer, we have noted a considerable dropoff in Democratic support relative to the levels of support Barack Obama received in his 2008 Presidential race. We believe this dropoff (aka, the “Obama plunge”) can be used to evaluate the electoral prospects of Democratic congressional candidates […]
The U.S. House “deems” the 2011 budget as passed
Part One: Vote to raise the national debt ceiling Elections (past, present, and future) have consequences. Back in February, we noted that the upset victory of Republican Scott Brown in Massachusetts sent a psychological shock wave to some Democrats who were beginning to get “cold feet” politically after tough votes on legislation like the stimulus, […]
2010 Elections, 7/2 edition
Primary and Filing Status We are now in an “eye of the storm”, so to speak, of the 2010 election cycle. As this article is being written, 26 states have held their primaries, and Congressional filing just concluded in 42 states (Rhode Island’s filing concluded on June 30). Next week, Congressional filing will conclude […]