One of the more closely watched US Senate races in 2014 will undoubtedly be in Louisiana, where three term Democratic incumbent Mary Landrieu will face Republican Congressman Bill Cassidy – she has never been elected or re-elected with more than 52% of the vote.
DefendLA, which is a “statewide campaign dedicated to giving Louisianians a voice in the defense of their right to protect their families” recently hired JMC Analytics and Polling to conduct a poll gauging voter opinions on President Obama, Senator Landrieu (in light of her recent vote on gun legislation), and a proposed bill from Representative Jeff Thompson (R-Bossier City) to penalize those who would publish information on conceal carry handgun permit holders.
The context of the conducting of this poll needs to be put in perspective: Public Policy Polling, on behalf of Americans United for Change, released polling on May 2 that showed that Senator Landrieu was helped by her recent vote by a 44-26% margin. In that poll, 536 Louisianians were surveyed, with a demographic breakdown that was 71/24% white/black and 42/40% Democrat/Republican.
JMC’s poll was conducted using 582 respondents, with a demographic breakdown that was 69/28% white/black and 54/31% Democrat/Republican. This is a breakdown that more closely approximates a midterm electorate in Louisiana. JMC’s poll showed her gun vote hurting her chances for re-election by a 48-30% margin.
The poll results are here.
