Decision 2014 – DefendLA poll on Obama approval, Landrieu re-elect, and gun legislation

One of the more closely watched US Senate races in 2014 will undoubtedly be in Louisiana, where three term Democratic incumbent Mary Landrieu will face Republican Congressman Bill Cassidy – she has never been elected or re-elected with more than 52% of the vote.

DefendLA, which is a “statewide campaign dedicated to giving Louisianians a voice in the defense of their right to protect their families” recently hired JMC Analytics and Polling to conduct a poll gauging voter opinions on President Obama, Senator Landrieu (in light of her recent vote on gun legislation), and a proposed bill from Representative Jeff Thompson (R-Bossier City) to penalize those who would publish information on conceal carry handgun permit holders.

The context of the conducting of this poll needs to be put in perspective: Public Policy Polling, on behalf of Americans United for Change, released polling on May 2 that showed that Senator Landrieu was helped by her recent vote by a 44-26% margin. In that poll, 536 Louisianians were surveyed, with a demographic breakdown that was 71/24% white/black and 42/40% Democrat/Republican.

JMC’s poll was conducted using 582 respondents, with a demographic breakdown that was 69/28% white/black and 54/31% Democrat/Republican. This is a breakdown that more closely approximates a midterm electorate in Louisiana. JMC’s poll showed her gun vote hurting her chances for re-election by a 48-30% margin.
 
The poll results are here.