Louisiana is a Southern state that remained faithful to the Democratic Party longer than any other state in the region except possibly Arkansas. However, there has been an unmistakable and steady movement over the last decade to the Republicans, to the point that now there are Republican majorities nearly across the board (in other words, […]
Decision 2019/2020: Dissecting the North Carolina special election results
The last unsettled Congressional election from 2018 has finally concluded, with Republicans holding onto a US House seat in the Charlotte, NC area that they have held since 1963. Republican Dan Bishop was elected by a 51-49% margin in a race that had to be rerun because of material instances of absentee ballot fraud in […]
Decision 2019: JMC’s guide to 2019 Legislative Elections in Louisiana
Louisiana is one of three states (Mississippi and Kentucky are the others) who have statewide elections this year. And while the Governor’s race will certainly be competitive (as evidenced by this recent JMC poll), races for the state legislature are a similarly important part of the political landscape. Historically, Democratic dominance in Louisiana was exemplified […]
Alabama abortion poll
Anti-abortion legislation has been a hot topic in terms of recent legislative activity in several states. Recently, Alabama Governor Kay Ivey signed legislation that would make it a felony for a doctor to perform an abortion. The intent of this action is to create a legal challenge that will reach all the way up to […]
Decision 2019: North Carolina 9th Congressional District Poll
Until very recently, the Deep South was solidly Democratic, with only scattered Republican beachheads. One such district is the 9th Congressional District of North Carolina, which is centered in and around Charlotte. This district for decades elected Republicans, although its Republicanism is (by today’s standards) the more moderate variety. Accordingly, Republicans have seen this district […]
Decision 2019: Louisiana Governor’s race poll
Louisiana is a Southern state that remained faithful to the Democratic Party longer than any other state in the region except possibly Arkansas. However, there has been an unmistakable and steady movement over the last decade to the Republicans, to the point that now there are Republican majorities nearly across the board (in other words, […]
2018 Louisiana Census Estimates and Congressional Redistricting
While the US Census (which was last taken on April 1, 2010) is formally conducted every 10 years, the Census Bureau periodically posts population estimates for each county/parish. Recently, the July 1, 2018 population estimates were released for each of Louisiana’s 64 parishes. What do these population estimates tell us ? Slower population growth: For […]
Decision 2019: Special elections do (sometimes) matter
Only in recent years can Louisiana be thought of as a Republican friendly state, and for years, Republicans did not have a sufficiently stable presence in the Legislature to matter. That rapidly changed after a trio of events: Hurricanes Katrina/Rita in 2005, the advent of term limits in 2007 legislative elections, and the BP oil […]
JMC Analytics and Polling’s response to Jefferson Parish President Yenni
This past week, JMC Analytics and Polling was engaged by local businessman Henry Shane to poll the Jefferson Parish Presidents race, and at his request, the poll was publicly released to the media on February 27 (that poll can be found here). In a subsequent March 1 article posted by Drew Broach on Nola.com (that […]
Decision 2019: Jefferson Parish President Poll
In Louisiana, local offices may or not be held at the same time as the same fall elections where all statewide elected officials and members of the House and Senate are elected. Jefferson Parish is one of the parishes that does, and its Parish President’s race always attracts some attention, given that Jefferson Parish is […]