Summary Statistics President Obama job approval – last 30 days: 47-49% approve/disapprove (was 48-49% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote – last 30 days: 44-42% Republican (was 44-42% Republican) Congressional retirements (including defeats): 62 (51 in the House and 11 in the Senate) Congressional Primary defeats: 9 (8 in the House and 1 in the Senate)
Archive | 2012 Election
RSS feed for this sectionDecision 2012 – JMCEL’s June 21 Presidential scorecard
Statistics President Obama job approval – last 30 days: 48-49% approve/disapprove (was 48-48% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote – last 30 days: 44-42% Republican (was 45-42% Republican) Congressional retirements (including defeats): 61 (50 in the House and 11 in the Senate) Congressional Primary defeats: 8 (7 in the House and 1 in the Senate)
Decision 2012 – JMCEL’s June 14 Presidential scorecard
Statistics President Obama job approval – last 30 days: 48-48% approve/disapprove (was 48-48% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote – last 30 days: 45-42% Republican (was 45-41% Republican) Congressional retirements (including defeats): 61 (50 in the House and 11 in the Senate) Congressional Primary defeats: 8 (7 in the House and 1 in the Senate)
Decision 2012 – JMCEL’s June 11 Presidential scorecard
Statistics President Obama job approval – last 30 days: 48-48% approve/disapprove (was 48-48% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote – last 30 days: 45-41% Republican (was 45-42% Republican) Congressional retirements (including defeats): 61 (50 in the House and 11 in the Senate) Congressional Primary defeats: 8 (7 in the House and 1 in the Senate)
Decision 2012 (June 7 edition) – a “Wisconsin warning” for President Obama ?
This past Tuesday, six states held their primary elections, and Wisconsin held recall elections for its governor, lieutenant governor, and several state senators. The results from Wisconsin and California (especially Wisconsin) have provided some clues as to what will happen in the November elections.
Decision 2012 – JMCEL’s June 1 Presidential scorecard
Statistics President Obama job approval – last 30 days: 48-48% approve/disapprove (was 48-49% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote – last 30 days: 45-42% Republican (was 45-42% Republican) Congressional retirements (including defeats): 60 (49 in the House and 11 in the Senate) Congressional Primary defeats: 7 (6 in the House and 1 in the Senate)
Decision 2012 – Primary problems for President Obama ?
Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary Party primaries can predict the future. Back in August 2010, a U.S. Senate primary in Louisiana attracted 110K Democrats and Independents (in that election, Independents were allowed to vote in the Democratic primary), and the results showed that Democrats and Independents were not solidly behind former Congressman Charlie Melancon (D-Napoleonville), who […]
Decision 2012 – JMCEL scorecard as of May 22
As of this morning, 12 states have held their primaries (note: Arkansas and Kentucky are holding primaries today), while Congressional filing has concluded in 34 states. Since the Presidential election is barely more than five months away, we thought this was a good time to start keeping score for the fall elections.
Decision 2012 (May 8 Indiana/North Carolina/West Virginia primaries – a bad day to be an incumbent)
Congressional Current Generic Congressional Vote (14 day rolling average): 44-43% Republican Prior Generic Congressional Vote (14 day rolling average): 42-40% Republican The anti-incumbent wave which in 2010 cost 63 Congressmen (7 in the primary and 56 on Election Day) their jobs showed no signs of abating after last night’s primaries in Indiana, North Carolina, and […]
Decision 2012 (April 3 Maryland/DC/Wisconsin primaries)
Presidential – (1144 delegates to win) Romney 658 (58%), Santorum 281 (25%), Gingrich 135, Ron Paul 51, Huntsman 2 (Source: WSJ) Primary results/looking ahead