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Decision 2016: Democrats go to Nevada; Republicans go to South Carolina

The contests this Saturday have the potential to end one or more Republican candidacies, while Hillary Clinton is faced with a stronger than expected challenge from Bernie Sanders, who proudly describes himself as a “Democratic socialist.” However, Saturday’s contests are unique in that Democrats and Republicans are not competing in the same states on the same days. […]

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Decision 2016: New Hampshire has spoken

Now that the New Hampshire primary has concluded, with (as this article is being written) 89% of the vote counted, what are the takeaways? Republicans (1) Essentially, the deck has been reshuffled, as New Hampshire once again has contradicted Iowa’s results; (2) After Iowa, we had noted the existence of three candidate “tracks”: the “Trump […]

Decision 2016: The day before the New Hampshire primary

Tomorrow, the Presidential contest moves to New Hampshire for its “first in the nation” primary. Three things that are important to understand about New Hampshire: (1) Independents are 44% of the electorate (30% are Republican, and 26% are Democrat), and can vote in (and influence) either party’s primary, (2) New Hampshire voters are less ideological and religious than Iowa, and (3) the […]

Decision 2016: The Iowa caucuses

The Iowa caucuses have concluded, with (as this article is being written) 99% of the Republican vote and 95% of the Democratic vote counted. What are the takeaways ? Republicans (1) Ted Cruz’s w 28-24% win over Donald Trump proves once again that the grass roots matters – quite simply, Ted Cruz had a ground game that […]

Decision 2016: Iowa and New Hampshire “Pre game analysis”

It’s countdown time: the Iowa caucus is eight days away on February 1, followed by the New Hampshire primary on February 9. And while a numerical majority of the individual Presidential contests will be held throughout the month of March, it is the Iowa and New Hampshire contests that will winnow down the field and […]

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Decision 2016: A tale of four states

Between the 2014 Senate race and the 2015 statewide elections (which produced a gubernatorial runoff for the first time in 12 years), Louisiana has been in a seemingly endless election cycle since early 2013. And despite the holiday season, the Presidential primary season is now upon us, as the Iowa caucuses are just over four […]