Louisiana 2011 Legislative Analysis – House District 101

District Map

House District 101

 Voting History

2008 President
  Current District New District
John McCain (R) 294 (3%) 5128 (30%)
Barack Obama (D) 9144 (97%) 11994 (69%)
Others 34 (0%) 140 (1%)

 

2008 Senate
  Current District New District
Mary Landrieu (D) 277 (96%) 4055 (75%)
John Kennedy (R) 8825 (3%) 12652 (24%)
Others 93 (1%) 200 (1%)

 

2010 Senate
  Current District New District
David Vitter (R) 185 (3%) 3230 (30%)
Charlie Melancon (D) 5506 (93%)  7099 (66%)
Others 250 (4%) 508 (5%)

 

2010 Lt Governor
  Current District New District
Jay Dardenne (R) 305 (5%) 3855 (36%)
Caroline Fayard (D) 5654 (95%) 6963 (64%)

 

Current District
 

House District 101 was located in New Orleans East in an area bounded roughly by the Industrial Canal, Lower 9th Ward, Paris Road, Chef Menteur Highway, Crowder Road, and Lake Pontchartrain. It has the most substantial black voting majority (92%, up from 86% several years ago) of any Louisiana House district. While it routinely turns in near unanimous Democratic percentages, it’s worth noticing that when Bobby Jindal first ran for governor in 2003, the endorsement of former mayor Ray Nagin enabled Bobby to get 21% of the vote here. Without Nagin’s endorsement in 2007, Jindal’s share of the district vote slipped to 14%.

The district’s legislative representation has been fairly steady, with black Democratic representation for years. Democrat Naomi White Warren (later Farve) represented the area from 1986 to 1999. She received fairly strenuous competition each time she ran, and her re-election percentages were consistently in the 60-67% range. When she retired, Cedric Richmond was elected with 63% of the vote in the 1999 primary, then was easily re-elected in 2003 and 2007. Though he would have been term limited this year, he recently vacated the district after his successful election to Congress last year.

Proposed District
 

Population losses in Orleans and Jefferson Parish made redistricting a tricky proposition for the area: the district ended up having 42% less population than needed for a state representative district after the 2010 Census. Combine that with the resignation of Cedric Richmond (he was succeeded in a special election by Wesley Bishop, who clinched the election in the first primary with 75%) and you had a district that was an obvious candidate for elimination. The 70% of the district west of Crowder Boulevard was added to Charmaine Stiaes’ Lower 9th Ward district. The remainder was added to Austin Badon’s New Orleans East district.

The new district has been relocated to East Baton Rouge Parish in a section that has seen fairly rapid demographic change in recent years – precincts that in 2003 had 46% black voter registration are now 63% black. The district was drawn by taking portions of District 29 (the district of Regina Barrow, which is 47% of the new district), District 66 (Hunter Greene’s old district, which makes up 35% of the new district), District 65 (Clif Richardson’s district, which is 10% of the new district), and District 61 (Michael Jackson’s district, which is 7% of the new district).

The district itself is fairly compact and can be described as follows: the northernmost end of the district is in the Brookstown area. From there, the district includes black middle class neighborhoods of Monticello and Park Forest along Greenwell Springs Road. District 101 then travels down Sherwood Forest Boulevard to pick up the neighborhoods of Red Oak, Bellaire, and a portion of Sherwood Forest between Sherwood Forest and Flannery. The district then ends at I-12, where it picks up apartment complexes between Old Hammond Highway and I-12.

The 63% black voter registration majority makes this district likely to elect a Democrat, although a victorious candidate will need to draw sufficient support from the bloc of white middle class voters living in Sherwood Forest, Red Oak, and (to a lesser extent) Park Forest.