Louisiana 2011 Legislative Analysis – House District 104
District Map
Voting History
2008 President |
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Current District | New District | |
John McCain (R) | 5496 (71%) | 13839 (73%) |
Barack Obama (D) | 2075 (27%) | 4789 (25%) |
Others | 218 (3%) | 325 (2%) |
2008 Senate |
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Current District | New District | |
Mary Landrieu (D) | 4321 (57%) | 7250 (39%) |
John Kennedy (R) | 3011 (40%) | 10730 (58%) |
Others | 217 (3%) | 487 (3%) |
2010 Senate |
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Current District | New District | |
David Vitter (R) | 2713 (57%) | 8975 (71%) |
Charlie Melancon (D) | 1757 (37%) | 2943 (23%) |
Others | 327 (7%) | 690 (5%) |
2010 Lt Governor |
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Current District | New District | |
Jay Dardenne (R) | 2751 (58%) | 9027 (72%) |
Caroline Fayard (D) | 1991 (42%) | 3529 (28%) |
Current District
House District 104 was located in St. Bernard Parish and contained most of Chalmette and Meraux. The district had a relatively low (14%, up from 7% in 2003) black population, and most of that was concentrated in the town of Meraux and in a handful of precincts in Chalmette. Demographically, the district was blue collar suburbia that tended to support Republicans in national and statewide elections, with one major exception – Senator Mary Landrieu’s efforts in the wake of Hurricane Katrina (which devastated St Bernard Parish) was recognized by her getting 57% of the vote in her 2008 re-election campaign. This level of support was a full 30 percentage points ahead of Barack Obama, who was also on the ballot.
Despite the Republican tendencies in statewide elections, Democrats represented the district for years. It wasn’t until a special election in 2000 that a Republican (Nita Hutter) was elected, and even then, she only won the runoff with 51% of the vote. She was re-elected more comfortably with over 60% of the vote in 2003 and 2007. Term limits forced her to retire this year.
Proposed District
Population losses in Saint Bernard, Orleans and Jefferson Parish made redistricting a tricky proposition for the area: the district ended up having 51% less population than needed for a state representative district after the 2010 Census. Combine that with the fact that you had a term limited representative, and you had a district that was an obvious candidate for elimination. In fact, all that had to be done was to add the entire district to a neighboring district held by freshman Democrat Reed Henderson, whose own district was 45% under populated.
The new district has been relocated to a rapidly growing portion of St Tammany Parish roughly between Mandeville and Slidell. It has a low (12%) black voter registration, and typically turns in over 70% support to Republican candidates. This district should go Republican this fall without much fuss.