Louisiana 2011 Legislative Analysis – House District 89

Incumbent – Tim Burns (R – Term Limited in 2015)

District Map

House District 89

Vote History

2008 President

  Current District New District
John McCain (R) 19976 (77%) 17237 (81%)
Barack Obama (D) 5380 (21%) 3823 (18%)
Others 422 (2%) 349 (2%)

 

2008 Senate

  Current District New District
Mary Landrieu (D) 8491 (34%) 6309 (30%)
John Kennedy (R) 16283 (64%) 14389 (68%)
Others 515 (2%) 366 (2%)

 

2010 Senate

  Current District New District
David Vitter (R) 14032 (77%) 12531 (79%)
Charlie Melancon (D) 3425 (19%) 2643 (17%)
Others 869 (5%) 684 (4%)

 

2010 Lt Governor

  Current District New District
Jay Dardenne (R) 14381 (79%) 12913 (82%)
Caroline Fayard (D) 3896 (21%) 2891 (18%)

Current District

House District 89 was newly created after the 2001 reapportionment and is located in St. Tammany Parish between Mandeville and Lacombe. It has a low 6% black voter registration, and most of that is concentrated in Lacombe.

Politically, this rapidly growing district is heavily Republican, and typically gives 3 to 1 support to Republicans in federal and statewide elections. In its short electoral history so far, five Republicans sought the seat in the 2003 elections, and the front runner, tax attorney/book author Tim Burns, was elected after his runoff opponent withdrew. He was unopposed in 2007 and unsuccessfully ran for Congress after former Congressman Bobby Jindal was elected Governor – his constituents, though, gave him 71% of the vote in the GOP runoff. Rep. Burns is allowed to seek one more term.

New District

St Tammany Parish has had the good fortune to gain a state House seat each decade for the past several reapportionment cycles. District 89 itself was 20% over populated, and was pared back. Lacombe and areas between Mandeville and Lacombe were placed into a newly created House seat. District 89 also picked up a handful of precincts in the west side of Mandeville from District 77 (represented by Republican John Schroder).

The redrawn district is now centered on Mandeville and has a 2% black voter registration – the lowest figure in the state. It can be expected to vote Republican by a 4 to 1 margin. Rep. Burns (or any other Republican) shouldn’t have any trouble getting elected from this district.