Louisiana 2011 Legislative Analysis – House District 89
Incumbent – Tim Burns (R – Term Limited in 2015)
District Map
Vote History
2008 President |
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Current District | New District | |
John McCain (R) | 19976 (77%) | 17237 (81%) |
Barack Obama (D) | 5380 (21%) | 3823 (18%) |
Others | 422 (2%) | 349 (2%) |
2008 Senate |
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Current District | New District | |
Mary Landrieu (D) | 8491 (34%) | 6309 (30%) |
John Kennedy (R) | 16283 (64%) | 14389 (68%) |
Others | 515 (2%) | 366 (2%) |
2010 Senate |
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Current District | New District | |
David Vitter (R) | 14032 (77%) | 12531 (79%) |
Charlie Melancon (D) | 3425 (19%) | 2643 (17%) |
Others | 869 (5%) | 684 (4%) |
2010 Lt Governor |
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Current District | New District | |
Jay Dardenne (R) | 14381 (79%) | 12913 (82%) |
Caroline Fayard (D) | 3896 (21%) | 2891 (18%) |
Current District
House District 89 was newly created after the 2001 reapportionment and is located in St. Tammany Parish between Mandeville and Lacombe. It has a low 6% black voter registration, and most of that is concentrated in Lacombe.
Politically, this rapidly growing district is heavily Republican, and typically gives 3 to 1 support to Republicans in federal and statewide elections. In its short electoral history so far, five Republicans sought the seat in the 2003 elections, and the front runner, tax attorney/book author Tim Burns, was elected after his runoff opponent withdrew. He was unopposed in 2007 and unsuccessfully ran for Congress after former Congressman Bobby Jindal was elected Governor – his constituents, though, gave him 71% of the vote in the GOP runoff. Rep. Burns is allowed to seek one more term.
New District
St Tammany Parish has had the good fortune to gain a state House seat each decade for the past several reapportionment cycles. District 89 itself was 20% over populated, and was pared back. Lacombe and areas between Mandeville and Lacombe were placed into a newly created House seat. District 89 also picked up a handful of precincts in the west side of Mandeville from District 77 (represented by Republican John Schroder).
The redrawn district is now centered on Mandeville and has a 2% black voter registration – the lowest figure in the state. It can be expected to vote Republican by a 4 to 1 margin. Rep. Burns (or any other Republican) shouldn’t have any trouble getting elected from this district.