Louisiana 2011 Legislative Analysis – House District 42
Incumbent – Jack Montoucet (D – Term Limited in 2019)
District Map
Vote History
2008 President |
||
Current District | New District | |
John McCain (R) | 11426 (67%) | 11426 (67%) |
Barack Obama (D) | 5310 (31%) | 5310 (31%) |
Others | 333 (2%) | 333 (2%) |
2008 Senate |
||
Current District | New District | |
Mary Landrieu (D) | 8250 (49%) | 8250 (49%) |
John Kennedy (R) | 8041 (48%) | 8041 (48%) |
Others | 389 (2%) | 389 (2%) |
2010 Senate |
||
Current District | New District | |
David Vitter (R) | 6732 (62%) | 6732 (62%) |
Charlie Melancon (D) | 3450 (32%) | 3450 (32%) |
Others | 662 (6%) | 662 (6%) |
2010 Lt Governor |
||
Current District | New District | |
Jay Dardenne (R) | 6190 (57%) | 6190 (57%) |
Caroline Fayard (D) | 4577 (43%) | 4577 (43%) |
Current District
The town of Crowley, Louisiana is unique because, in the words of the Almanac of American Politics, “it seems to have produced more prominent politicians per capita than any other place in America.” It helped launch the career of former Governor Edwin Edwards, former Senator John Breaux, and former Congressman Chris John (who ran for Breaux’s seat in 2004 but lost to David Vitter). House District 42 includes Crowley and the rest of southern Acadia Parish, as well as two precincts in Lafayette Parish. It has a modest 21% black voter registration that has remained unchanged since the lines were drawn a decade ago.
Historically, the district supported Democrats for statewide races (especially if the Democrat came from Acadiana), while voting heavily Republican in Presidential elections. However, there has been an unmistakable movement towards the right here in recent years – even with strong Democratic turnout in 2008, Mary Landrieu’s 49-48% plurality was actually a drop in her performance here compared to her 2002 race, when she carried the district with 53%. And in elections last year, Republicans like David Vitter and Jay Dardenne posted the kind of margins that only Republican Presidential candidates would get.
At the local level, however, the district has thus far only voted for Democrats, and there have typically been competitive races only when the seat is open. Former Congressman Chris John was elected here in 1987 by upsetting a first term incumbent and served for two terms, vacating the seat in 1995 to run unsuccessfully for Lieutenant Governor. He was succeeded in 1995 by Gil Pinac, who was re-elected twice without opposition, but was term limited out in 2007. In the race to succeed Rep. Pinac, Jack Montoucet defeated former Crowley mayor Isabella delaHoussaye (who actually ran for the seat in 1995 as a Democrat) 58-42%, with comfortable margins in both parishes.
Proposed District
While redistricting in some parts of the state was a contentious process, in the case of District 42, the process was painless. Though the district population was 4% under the population of an “ideal” district, a 5% population variance, is permitted, and without the demographics to permit the drawing of a new black majority district, District 42 was one of several districts that remained unchanged.
While historically this has been a safe district for its incumbents, the movement to the right in recent years leads us to question whether its Democratic incumbent can take his re-election for granted.