New Orleans Mayor’s race
The City of New Orleans is having a Mayor’s race with a February 6 primary and a March 6 runoff, if necessary. [...]
Archive for January, 2010
The Massachusetts Miracle – what happened ?
There will be many lengthy post mortems written about this election, so the historic victory of Scott Brown (the last time a Republican Senator in Massachusetts was victorious was in 1972) deserves some “behind the scenes” analysis. [...]
A Masachusetts Miracle Tomorrow ?
As voters go to the polls tomorrow in Masachusetts, we are on the cusp of a major election upset by Republican Scott Brown. To illustrate how rapidly the ground has shifted on this campaign, let’s look back at the “rolling averages” of polls taken in the last few days: [...]
Massachusetts, Part V (less than 72 hours away from the election)
Today, a poll was released from American Research Group (ARG), which polled 600 likely voters between Tuesday-Thursday, and this poll showed a 48-45% Scott Brown lead. Couple of things worth noting: [...]
Masachusetts, Part IV (4 days until the election)
With four days days until the election, two new polls have come out, and not only do both show Scott Brown in the lead, but both show him with at least 50% of the vote. The polls released today showed the following: [...]
Massachusetts, Part III (5 days until the election)
With five days until the election, a Democratic poll of 500 likely voters by Blue Mass Group/Research 2000 shows a 49-41% Martha Coakley lead. A couple of comments here: [...]
More on Massachusetts
With six days until the election, a new Rasmussen poll has come out showing the Democrat Martha Coakley with a 49-47% lead. Since this is the second poll Rasmussen has done in a week, we have a “trend” now as follows: [...]
2010 Elections, January 12 edition
2010 promises to be a busy political year. As President Obama enters his second year of office, he/ Congressional Democrats will be ultimately be graded on their performance. Because of the magnitude of filing deadlines and/or primaries, we have developed a spreadsheet to track what’s going on in each of the 50 states. [...]
Special Elections (in Massachusetts) Do Matter !
Edward Kennedy’s death on August 25, 2009 gave Congressional Democrats a powerful assist in their efforts to pass healthcare reform, as this was an issue which he had championed for years. This assist was further strengthened when Massachusetts Democrats changed the law to allow for an interim (Democratic) replacement to be selected which would provide a crucial 60th Democratic vote for healthcare reform. Now, the possibility exists that healthcare reform may be affected again by the January 19 special election which will be held to select a replacement to the late Sen. Kennedy until his term expires in 2012. [...]
East Baton Rouge Parish Politics Part II
Though Louisiana was one of a handful of states to give John McCain a higher percentage of the vote than George W. Bush received in 2004, East Baton Rouge moved towards the Democrats and, to many people’s surprise, voted for Barack Obama – one of only 10 parishes in Louisiana to do so. How did this happen? In this article, we will analyze the factors that led East Baton Rouge to trend perceptibly Democratic between 2004 and 2008, and then we will assess whether we think this was a onetime event or part of a longer term trend. [...]
