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Decision 2016: Did the pollsters get it right (or wrong)?

Now that the 2016 Presidential election cycle has concluded, there has been considerable discussion about whether pollsters as a whole “missed the boat” on predicting the Presidential race. Did they ? To evaluate, there are two aspects of the 2016 Presidential polls that JMC Analytics and Polling analyzed: (1) how well the polls predicted the […]

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Decision 2016 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s “No Tossups Allowed” Presidential/Senate scorecard

In 49 states, election season will be over tomorrow (Louisiana has several races which will go into a December 10 runoff). Now that JMC has incorporated all polling up to this afternoon, what does he think will happen with the Presidency and/or Senate ? PRESIDENT: Clinton 275, Trump 263             […]

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Decision 2016 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s “Swing State Tracker”

Given that there has been substantial movement in the polls this past week, what is REALLY happening with the Presidential race right now? Since this racet is not so much a national contest as it is 50 simultaneous state contests, where the race is or is heading in marginal states is critical for a proper analysis […]

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Decision 2016 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s November 4 Presidential scorecard

Introduction – How JMC Analytics and Polling calls a state (1) Safe Democratic/Clinton or safe Republican/Trump (dark blue/red) – If no polls have been conducted within the last 7 days for that state, a 2012 Obama (or Romney) percentage of 60% or above gets this rating. If polls have been conducted, a Clinton (or Trump) […]

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Decision 2016 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s October 30 Presidential scorecard

Introduction – How JMC Analytics and Polling calls a state (1) Safe Democratic/Clinton or safe Republican/Trump (dark blue/red) – If no polls have been conducted within the last 7 days for that state, a 2012 Obama (or Romney) percentage of 60% or above gets this rating. If polls have been conducted, a Clinton (or Trump) […]

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Decision 2016: Latest PSC (District 4) poll

JMC Analytics and Polling was commissioned by the Mike Francis campaign for Public Service Commissioner to poll both the Presidential and Public Service Commission District 4 race (PSC District 4 encompasses Southwest and Central Louisiana, and the map can be found here). The poll can be found here.

Decision 2016 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s Louisiana Presidential/US Senate Poll

JMC Analytics and Polling was recently commissioned by the Fleming campaign to poll Louisiana both for the Presidential and the (24 candidate) U.S. Senate race. Among its findings: 1.For the U.S. Senate race, five candidates once had a path to the runoff – now, four do; 2.On the Democratic side, Public Service Commissioner Foster Campbell essentially has […]

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Decision 2016 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s October 9 Presidential scorecard

Introduction – How JMC Analytics and Polling calls a state (1) Safe Democratic/Clinton or safe Republican/Trump (dark blue/red) – If no polls have been conducted within the last 7 days for that state, a 2012 Obama (or Romney) percentage of 60% or above gets this rating. If polls have been conducted, a Clinton (or Trump) […]

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Decision 2016: PSC poll, with JMC Analytics and Polling’s response to the “War Room PAC”

JMC Analytics and Polling was commissioned by the Mike Francis campaign for Public Service Commissioner to poll the Public Service Commission District 4 race (PSC District 4 encompasses Southwest and Central Louisiana, and the map can be found here). Earlier this week, LABI sent out a “War Room PAC” email which discussed this and other races. Their […]

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Decision 2016 – JMC Analytics and Polling’s Louisiana Presidential/US Senate Poll

JMC Analytics and Polling was recently commissioned to do a poll in Louisiana both for the Presidential and the (24 candidate) U.S. Senate race. Among its findings: For the U.S. Senate race, five candidates now have a path to the runoff, While Democratic Public Service Commissioner Foster Campbell and Republican Congressman Charles Boustany lead the field, Republican […]

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