2011 Elections, September 4 Edition

In our previous installment, we noted that Mississippi has decided on its Democratic nominee for Governor, while in Wisconsin, the two Democrats up for recall survived the recall elections, thus leaving the Wisconsin Senate at 17-16 Republican. [...]

2011 Elections, August 29 Edition

In our previous installment, we noted that Democrats only achieved partial success with the attempted recall of six Republican senators. While they did recall two Republicans, one of those was due to personal issues, while the other was merely a case of Democrats mobilizing to defeat an incumbent Republican in a heavily Democratic district – Barack Obama received over 60% of the vote there. However, Republicans are still in control of both houses of the Wisconsin legislature. [...]

2011 Elections, August 11 Edition

In our previous installment, we had noted that in California, a special election was held that seemed to reaffirm our belief in the “Obama plunge” (i.e., the drop-off in Democrats’ fortunes relative to the 2008 Presidential election) that has continued to show up in most elections since the fall of 2009.

July/August elections [...]

2011 Elections – July results

In our previous analysis, we noted that Wisconsin and California were holding elections this month. Now that the first installment of elections has passed, we have some commentary. [...]

JMCEL’s “Pulse of Louisiana” Poll, July 4 edition

Last month, we conducted a “Pulse of Louisiana” poll, and in that poll, we measured the re-elect numbers for President Obama and Senator Landrieu, and we also looked at how her healthcare reform vote has affected her re-elect numbers. (the results of that poll are here). [...]

2011 Elections, June 30 Edition (Part 2 of 2)

In the previous installment, we discussed (at a high level) the election landscape across the country between July and September. In this installment, we will discuss elections occurring in the “home stretch” of October and November. [...]

2011 Elections, June 30 Edition (Part 1 of 2)

Even though it seems that this is an “off year” with regards to national elections, there are in fact quite a few elections (governor’s races, legislative elections, recalls, and special elections) that will be held throughout the year that have varying partisan implications. We would like to discuss those upcoming elections and monitor them as the year goes on. [...]

JMCEL’s “Pulse of Louisiana” Poll

We recently conducted a statewide poll of likely voters regarding their opinions of President Obama, Senator Landrieu, and Senator Landrieu’s support of healthcare reform. We have posted the poll and/crosstabs here. Below are the summary results:

President Obama re-elect: (33-58% Yes/No)
Senator Landrieu re-elect: (40-42% Yes/No)
Senator Landrieu healthcare vote make more likely to vote for re-election: (30-46% Yes/No)

Louisiana Congressional District Maps

Louisiana Congressional District Political Statistics

At the 11th hour, the Louisiana Legislature agreed to the Congressional reapportionment plan (with amendments) of Representative Erich Ponti (R-Baton Rouge). We have analyzed the changes and have the following obervations/comments: [...]