In our prior posting about the House races, we briefly analyzed the 2012 Presidential race through the lens of the electoral behavior of each state during midterm elections. We noted that “….At a minimum, the states which voted for McCain in 2008 are very unlikely to switch to Obama in 2012. States in the interior […]
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RSS feed for this section2010 Midterm results: Part 6 – U.S. House races
From the Republicans’ perspective, the “crown jewel” of the 2010 midterm elections was the recapture, by a significant margin, of the U.S. House of Representatives. This house of Congress has been under Democratic control since 2007, and since 1955 has been Democratic controlled for 44 of the last 56 years. Few pundits, however, have bothered to delve into […]
2010 Midterm results: Part 4 – Louisiana Senate race
The seemingly eternal Senate race that started in the summer of 2009 between David Vitter and Charlie Melancon has finally ended, and the verdict of the voters was clear: anything that smacked of President Obama and/or his Democratic policies was soundly rejected in most parts of state. While Senator Vitter always maintained double digit leads […]
2010 Midterm results: Part 3 – Louisiana Congressional races
In the previous two articles in the series, we looked at the Senate and Governor’s races across the nation. We would like to shift gears in this article to focus on the Louisiana Congressional races.
2010 Midterm results: Part 2 – Governor’s races
In our previous article about the Senate, we noted that GOP gains were respectable, but were hardly overwhelming, since there were multiple missed opportunities, in addition to the fact that many Senate races were held in unfavorable terrain. These and other factors prevented the GOP from recapturing the Senate – for now.
2010 Midterm results: Part 1 – Senate races
Now that the will of the voters has been expressed in the 2010 midterm elections, how are we to interpret the results ? We will answer this question in the next seven posts, which will cover not only the elections just concluded, but will look into the near term (i.e., 2011 and 2012) future.
A postmortem on Congressional turnover
Back in June, we had discussed Congressional turnover from a historical perspective. Now that all but 10 Congressional races have been decided, we would like to revisit that discussion.
Grading the Election Night guide
It’s one thing to make predictions. Were they accurate ? We made predictions on 252 House, Senate, and or governor’s races. Though there are 15 races still outstanding, the “score” is as follows:
Election Night guide
Watching returns on Election Night is an American tradition similar to Super bowl Sunday. On the ballot Tuesday will be federal, state, and local races – our focus will be on the Congressional (House and Senate) and the Governor’s races. So what should we look for?
2010 Elections, 10/28 version – House/Senate/Governors polls
2010 Election Predictions – How we rank individual races This is the last weekly pre-election analysis we are doing. Election Day edges ever closer, and the 5PM (Central time) Tuesday night poll closings in Indiana and Kentucky will provide early hints as to how the night will proceed. Our calls on Senate/Governor’s races are based […]