Anyone attempting to analyze the politics of East Baton Rouge Parish needs to understand that it is a politically competitive parish that has a “gumbo” of citizens from within and without Louisiana, and even from foreign countries. By understanding these different regions, the Presidential vote in the parish for 2004, 2008, and 2012 makes more [...]
Archive | National Politics
RSS feed for this sectionDecision 2012 – Louisiana Presidential Election Results
While the 2008 and 2012 Presidential election results were never in doubt in Louisiana, it’s worth noting that while President Obama’s share of the popular vote dropped from 53 to 51%, he saw a small uptick in support in Louisiana – his share of the vote went from 40 to 41% between 2008 and 2012. [...]
Decision 2012 – Grading the “major” pollsters
Earlier this year, we had evaluated the performance of the “major” pollsters during the 2010 elections. Now that the 2012 elections are largely behind us, we thought we would revisit that analysis.
Decision 2012 – Twas the night before Election Day
Tomorrow is election day across America. This has been a truly unique election season for several reasons: (1) An incumbent President is facing re-election with unemployment nearly at 8% ; (2) Mitt Romney struggled to find his voice/connect with voters until the first debate in Denver; (3) Americans in unprecedented numbers have decided not to [...]
Decision 2012 – JMCEL’s November 2 Presidential scorecard
Part 1: Summary Statistics (last 7 days) Obama vs Romney: 48-47% Romney (was 49-47% Romney) President Obama job approval: 49-49% approve/disapprove (was 49-48% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote: 45-45% Republican (was 45-44% Republican) US Senate Projections: 47 Democrats, 47 Republicans, 1 Independent, 5 Tossups (was 48-46-1 Democrat) Governor’s Race Projections: 30 Republicans, 16 Democrats, 1 Independent, [...]
Decision 2012 – Louisiana Early Voting (End of in person early voting)
Early voting for the Presidential election in Louisiana concluded yesterday afternoon. Even though mail in absentee ballots can still be accepted for another week, it’s interesting to see what happened with early voting, as it is becoming an increasingly popular way for Louisianians to vote Here’s what we have noticed:
Decision 2012 – JMCEL’s October 30 Presidential scorecard
Part 1: Summary Statistics (last 7 days) Obama vs Romney: 49-47% Romney (was 48-47% Romney) President Obama job approval: 49-48% approve/disapprove (was 49-48% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote: 45-44% Republican (was 45-44% Republican) US Senate Projections: 48 Democrats, 46 Republicans, 1 Independent, 5 Tossups (was 48-47-1 Democrat) Governor’s Race Projections: 30 Republicans, 16 Democrats, 1 Independent, [...]
Decision 2012 – Louisiana Early Voting (Halftime Report)
Early voting for the Presidential election in Louisiana is underway and has crossed the halfway mark – there are only three days left to early vote in this seven day “season.” Not that the election will conclude on Tuesday, of course: mail in absentee ballots can still be accepted for another week after that, and [...]
Decision 2012 – JMCEL’s October 25 Presidential scorecard
Part 1: Summary Statistics (last 7 days) Obama vs Romney: 48-47% Romney (was 48-47% Romney) President Obama job approval: 49-48% approve/disapprove (was 49-48% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote: 45-44% Republican (was 45-44% Democratic) US Senate Projections: 48 Democrats, 47 Republicans, 1 Independent, 4 Tossups (was 48-47-1 Democrat) Governor’s Race Projections: 30 Republicans, 16 Democrats, 1 Independent, [...]
Decision 2012 – JMCEL’s October 23 Presidential scorecard
Part 1: Summary Statistics (last 7 days) Obama vs Romney: 48-47% Romney (was 48-47% Romney) President Obama job approval: 49-48% approve/disapprove (was 50-47% approve/disapprove) Generic Congressional Vote: 45-44% Democratic (was 45-43% Democratic) US Senate Projections: 48 Democrats, 47 Republicans, 1 Independent, 4 Tossups (was 46-45-1 Democrat) Governor’s Race Projections: 30 Republicans, 16 Democrats, 1 Independent, [...]