Early voting for Louisiana’s October 22 statewide primary started yesterday and will continue until next Saturday (mail in ballots will still be accepted until the day before Election Day). From examining early voting statistics provided to us by the Secretary of State, there are several things we noticed: [...]
In our previous installment, we discussed the upcoming elections within and without Louisiana that will be held in October and November. In this article, we will focus only on October elections. [...]
In our previous installment, we analyzed the twin victories for the GOP in two special Congressional elections. In both cases, the “Obama plunge” (explained here) resurfaced – it was a 9 point plunge in New York, while in Nevada, the plunge was 13 points. These types of dilutions in Democratic support, if they continue, will be ominous for President Obama as he seeks to get re-elected next year. [...]
Candidate filing has concluded in Louisiana. This was the first year in history that Democrats largely stayed away. So what happened? [...]
The second day of filing has concluded (the deadline to file is 5PM tomorrow). Most of the remaining “holdouts” among the incumbents did end up filing today, and some more challengers filed today as well. Overall, however, the pace was considerably slower than yesterday (40 candidates for statewide legislative office filed today, as opposed to the 246 who filed yesterday). [...]
The first day of filing concluded, and nearly all incumbents who were supposed to qualify did so, although there were a fair number of challengers who filed today as well. [...]
One of the biggest mistakes a candidate can make is to be unaware of external events that may distract voters from the candidate’s attempt to reach them. One of those external events is football season. Therefore, we have examined the football schedules of the New Orleans Saints, LSU, and Southern, so that we can see how those events may conflict with “election season.”
The election/political schedule can be accessed here.
Once Labor Day is over, candidate qualifying begins Tuesday morning, and continues until 5PM Thursday afternoon. Up for election this fall are all (1) all statewide elected officials (Governor, Lt. Governor, Secretary of State, etc.), (2) all 144 legislative seats, (3) the state education board (also known as BESE), and (5) local and parish wide races, although three parishes (Avoyelles, Concordia, and E Feliciana) will not be having police jury elections this fall, since their new district lines were not approved in time by the Justice Department. [...]
This is the third “Pulse of Louisiana” poll we have conducted. In the first poll, we measured the re-elect numbers for President Obama and Senator Landrieu, and we also looked at how her healthcare reform vote has affected her re-elect numbers (the results of that poll are here). [...]
Incumbent – Franklin Foil (R – Term Limited in 2019)
District Map
House District 70
Vote History [...]
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