A common mistake those running for office make is a lack of understanding of voter behavior, which results in their spending unnecessary effort reaching out to potential voters. This article will address both the nature of the problem and what can be done about it.
Archive | Analysis
RSS feed for this sectionLouisiana voter registration trends, 2001-2013 (Part II – Voter registration by age)
In the first part of our analysis, we examined changes in Louisiana voter registration over the past decade. There is another layer to this analysis to get a complete picture, however – examining voter registration data by a voter’s age, since the political views of each generation are invariably shaped by the political context of […]
Louisiana voter registration trends, 2001-2013
Last summer, we had examined Louisiana voter registration (and associated trends) over the previous decade, and in that analysis, we discovered the following: Increased GOP voter registration A continuous decline in the number of white Democrats A black majority among registered Democrats A GOP plurality among white voters Since that August 2012 analysis, the Presidential […]
Decision 2012: a picture is worth a thousand words (Part 4: Shreveport)
In the previous article, we graphically displayed the election results by precinct for Lafayette. This posting is devoted to Shreveport.
Decision 2012: a picture is worth a thousand words (Part 3: Lafayette)
In the previous article, we graphically displayed the election results by precinct for New Orleans. This posting is devoted to Lafayette.
Decision 2012: a picture is worth a thousand words (Part 2: New Orleans)
In the previous article, we graphically displayed the election results by precinct for Baton Rouge. This posting is devoted to New Orleans: namely, the “urban core” of Orleans, Jefferson, and Saint Bernard.
Decision 2012: a picture is worth a thousand words (Part 1: Baton Rouge)
Now that the election has officially concluded with the inauguration of President Obama, we would like to show graphically how various regions of Louisiana voted for President in the 2004, 2008, and 2012 elections. This posting is devoted to Baton Rouge. While the Baton Rouge area leans Republican, there is a substantial black population within […]
Decision 2012: a final analysis
The 2012 Presidential Election officially ended around Christmas, when the last of the ballots from New York City (which was challenged with conducting an election in the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy) were counted. Now that we have the official results, it’s worth analyzing them against the 2008 and 2004 Presidential elections. Official Vote Count (Obama […]
Reapportionment 2020 – early (January 2013) projections
Introduction Every 10 years, states are required to redraw their Congressional and legislative boundaries to reflect population changes that have occurred in the previous decade. Louisiana’s legislature participated in this exercise in the spring of 2011. There was definitely a time pressure to get a plan passed and implemented: Louisiana (and a handful of other […]
Decision 2012 – East Baton Rouge Parish Presidential Election Results (2 of 2)
Introduction In our previous analysis, we had provided the context for explaining how a parish that up to the 1996 Presidential election consistently voted more Republican than the state of Louisiana has now moved steadily towards the Democrats, while the rest of the state is becoming more solidly Republican. In this analysis, we will explain (at […]