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Decision 2017: A post mortem

The October 14 primary election has concluded, and Louisiana’s next Treasurer will either be Democratic attorney Derrick Edwards or Republican former (he resigned his seat in June) state representative John Schroder (both face each other in the November 18 runoff). Below is a summary of last night’s election/turnout data, as well as some observations gained […]

Decision 2017 – Conclusion of in person early voting in Louisiana

In person early voting finished yesterday, although mail in/absentee ballots (typically 3-9% of final early vote volume) can still be accepted throughout the upcoming week. The special election for Treasurer is at the top of the ballot. Also on the ballot are New Orleans municipal elections and various special elections around the state such as […]

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Decision 2017 – (“Half time Report” for) Early Voting in Louisiana

In person early voting has now been underway for several days for the October 14 primary and will continue until Saturday, October 7. The special election for Treasurer is at the top of the ballot. Also on the ballot are New Orleans municipal elections and various special elections around the state such as for Public Service […]

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Decision 2017 – (First Day of) Early Voting in Louisiana

In person early voting started yesterday for the October 14 primary. The special election for Treasurer is at the top of the ballot. This election cycle also contains New Orleans municipal elections and various special elections around the state such as for Public Service Commissioner, district/appeals court judge, and state representative. In person early voting […]

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Decision 2017: Alabama US Senate special election runoff

For two decades, Jeff Sessions represented Alabama in the United States Senate. Earlier this year, President Donald Trump chose Sessions to be Attorney General, and a special election was called to fill his vacant seat. Both parties held their primaries on August 15, and on the Democratic side, Doug Jones received 64% of the primary […]

Decision 2017: Alabama US Senate special election primary

For two decades, Jeff Sessions represented Alabama in the United States Senate. Earlier this year, President Donald Trump chose Sessions to be Attorney General, and a special election was called to fill his vacant seat. Both parties held their primaries tonight (with 8 Democrats and 10 Republicans running), although (UPDATED 8/16 PM) 72% of the primary […]

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Demographic analysis of the 2016 flood, a year later (Part II: East Baton Rouge impact)

In the previous analysis, it was determined that in general, the parishes included in the federal disaster declaration were not affected (from a population growth standpoint) by the flooding of last August. East Baton Rouge Parish, however, did not see any growth in its voter population since the flood, which would suggest that this parish […]

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Demographic analysis of the 2016 flood, a year later (Part I: statewide impact)

Nearly a year ago, massive flooding occurred through most of South Louisiana, and JMC in October 2016 and January 2017 analyzed voter registration changes to assess whether this flood was a “Katrina event” (i.e., the scope of devastation sparked a massive resettlement into other parts of the state and/or to other states). In each analysis, it was […]

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Decision 2018: Republicans dodge four bullets (so far)

The 2016 elections rearranged the electoral furniture (so to speak) at the Presidential level: Donald Trump posted numbers in blue collar and rural areas well above the norm for Republican candidates, while longtime Republican strongholds like the metropolitan areas of Dallas, Houston, and Atlanta (even locally, in affluent parts of East Baton Rouge and Jefferson […]

Decision 2017: Why (a special Congressional election in) Kansas matters

As a data analyst, it is one of JMC’s beliefs that midterm/Presidential election results rarely occur in a vacuum: available data (such as changes in voter registration, partisan primary participation, the composition of the early vote, and special election results) can and does foretell what will happen before Election Day. In this instance, a Congressional […]

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