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]]> By: The Hayride » 2010 Elections, 7/29 version http://winwithjmc.com/archives/765/comment-page-1#comment-289 The Hayride » 2010 Elections, 7/29 version Sun, 05 Dec 2010 00:09:13 +0000 http://winwithjmc.com/?p=765#comment-289 [...] We had remarked in this post that while we are using theoretical criteria to estimate the change in partisan composition of the House, there is an even more important criteria: actual poll results as they become available. This past week, more polls have been released which enable us to have a clearer picture of seven House races involving incumbent Democrats. First, poll numbers for four incumbent Democrats previously classified as vulnerable show that, indeed, voters do not support their re-election, as they trail their Republican opponents by 6 to 12 points. We are also reclassifying the status of three incumbent Democratic Congressmen, due to recent poll numbers/incidents: [...] [...] We had remarked in this post that while we are using theoretical criteria to estimate the change in partisan composition of the House, there is an even more important criteria: actual poll results as they become available. This past week, more polls have been released which enable us to have a clearer picture of seven House races involving incumbent Democrats. First, poll numbers for four incumbent Democrats previously classified as vulnerable show that, indeed, voters do not support their re-election, as they trail their Republican opponents by 6 to 12 points. We are also reclassifying the status of three incumbent Democratic Congressmen, due to recent poll numbers/incidents: [...]

]]> By: 2010 Elections, 7/22 version | The Hayride http://winwithjmc.com/archives/765/comment-page-1#comment-136 2010 Elections, 7/22 version | The Hayride Thu, 22 Jul 2010 15:47:05 +0000 http://winwithjmc.com/?p=765#comment-136 [...] We had remarked in this post that while we are using theoretical criteria to estimate the change in partisan composition of the House, there is an even more important criteria: actual poll results as they become available. In the last week, polls have been released that show three incumbent Democrats previously classified by us as vulnerable with leads in the polls. However, all three are polling under 50% (in fact, two are polling in the low 40s, and one is polling at 46%), so we are moving these incumbents to the “watch list”: Dave Loebsack (D-Iowa), Dina Titus (D-Nevada), and Baron Hill (D-Indiana). Incidentally, all three Democrats voted for healthcare reform at least once. [...] [...] We had remarked in this post that while we are using theoretical criteria to estimate the change in partisan composition of the House, there is an even more important criteria: actual poll results as they become available. In the last week, polls have been released that show three incumbent Democrats previously classified by us as vulnerable with leads in the polls. However, all three are polling under 50% (in fact, two are polling in the low 40s, and one is polling at 46%), so we are moving these incumbents to the “watch list”: Dave Loebsack (D-Iowa), Dina Titus (D-Nevada), and Baron Hill (D-Indiana). Incidentally, all three Democrats voted for healthcare reform at least once. [...]

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